It’s like déjà vu all over again. – Yogi Berra
As many of you may know, Beck is not a big fanboy of The DONALD (aka “hairball”). He’s much more of a Cruz creep. After Cruzy abandoned his presidential wannabe quest until next cycle and left Glenn without a jackass in the race, Beck has been trying desperately to find a way to handicap the “orange oligarch.”
Well, by jinkies, Beck thinks he’s found a way. (My apologies for using “Beck” and “thinks” in the same sentence.) Now, I know the “never Trump” movement has tried and failed miserably to keep hairball from winning the nomination, but Glenn has a much bigger goal. He wants to stop him from winning the general election.
He wants a true blue (or is that “true red?”) conservative candidate to steal the election from dapper Donald. (More on that in a moment.)
Of course, there are a few minor(?) obstacles to overcome. You can find a list of them HERE. However, to save you the ordeal of having to click a link, I’ll summarize.
- It costs a hell of a lot of money to get on the ballot in all 50 states.
- Even if you had the Benjamins, it’s too late to get on the ballot of a lot of states.
- Even if you had the Benjamins and a handy, dandy time machine to get you on the ballot in all 50 states, there’s virtually no reality in which you could win 270 electoral votes.
- The only person who would benefit, would be Hillary, since you’d be splitting the conservative base.
Looks like an intractable problem, doesn’t it? Au contraire mon ami!
Since it would be impossible for Beck’s boy (Well, you knew his choice isn’t going to be female, didn’t you?) to reach 270. The trick is to make sure nobody else makes 270, so that the election is decided by the Republican controlled House of Reps.
…and if there be more than one who have such Majority, and have an equal Number of Votes, then the House of Representatives shall immediately chuse by Ballot one of them for President… — U.S. Constitution, Article II, section 1, clause 3
This has actually happened a couple of times. Once, after the election of 1800, the House decided that Tom Jefferson won over John Adams. Jefferson also got the most votes in the election, 41,300 – 26,952. After the 1824 election, the House declared John Q. Adams the victor. This, despite the fact that Andy Jackson got the most votes, 151,271 – 113,122.
I’m not gonna comment on the SCOTUS decided election of 2000.
The first step in the process was to find a catchy name for his plan. Beck, or one of his minions decided to call it “Bailout2016.” I have to admit, I was a bit surprised at the choice. I thought bailouts were anathema to conservatives. (Note to any “baggers” reading this: “anathema” means something or someone that one vehemently* dislikes.) *strongly
Step two is to provide an alternative to the hairy one. According to #Bailout2016’s website, there are certain criteria to be met;
- You need someone who is not supporting Trump. (That eliminates 36 current and 8 former senators, 163 members of the House, 19 current and 12 former governors.)
- You need someone who is not a slave to the party. (See #1)
- You need someone who has an easy enough path to win these states and won’t need the help of conventional money and party resources. Perhaps someone self-funding? Or someone with an unfair advantage via identity politics or home state? (Willie, want to make another run?)
- You need someone who will actually do it. (Has a bullet-proof ego.)
- You need someone that doesn’t care about his future in Republican circles. (Because, he will have none.)
- And perhaps, most difficult, you need someone who is very well liked by the incoming members of the House of Representatives. (A Koch Bros lobbyist, perhaps?)
And, of course, someone who is an actual conservative (by Glenn’s definition, anyway).
Step three is where to spend your limited bucks to the greatest effect. Here again, there are criteria.
- Avoid “Blue States.” (Hillary is going to win there anyway so it’s just wasted money.)
- Avoid “Purple States.” (Don’t hand those to Clinton, wrapped up in a pretty red ribbon.)
- Target states that hairball lost. (They didn’t like him anyway, so it makes the job easier.)
- Eliminate all states with ballot deadlines that come before mid-August. (That eliminates all the states, except Utah, Idaho and Wyoming, with a total of 13 electoral votes.)
- Since 13 electoral votes aren’t gonna do diddly, some borderline states need to be added. According to Bailout2016, those states are: North Dakota, Montana, Louisiana and Kentucky. That brings the electoral total up to a whopping 35. (I never said this plan wasn’t stupid, cause it is.)
The next step is to find a sucker….er, candidate to run. The aforementioned website listed several possibilities, ranging from Willie to “Little” Dick Cheney. (Despite the fact that Little Dick came out for hairball.) They haven’t actually got one yet. For a bit, it looked like they settled on right-wingnut writer Brad Thor. However, the latest word is that he has declined the honor.
Are there problems with this grand scheme? Oh, lawdy, way too many to count. Let me concentrate on the big two.
Number one: This has been tried before, with disastrous results.
Back in 1948, Southern Democrats stormed out of the Democratic National Convention, because the Dems had the audacity to insert a civil rights plank in their platform. The apostate Democrats formed the States Rights Democratic Party (aka “Dixiecrat Party”).
They then attempted to usurp the regular Democratic ticket on the southern state ballots, hoping to force the election into the House of Representatives, where they thought they’d get their way. To this end they did manage to replace the Democratic ticket in South Carolina and Mississippi (surprise, surprise) as well as Alabama and Louisiana. In the rest of the south, they had to run as a 3rd party (which they were).
Unfortunately for them (fortunately for the rest of us) their grand plan fizzled. They ended up getting 1,175,930 votes (2.4%) and carrying Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi and South Carolina, which along with an electoral vote in Tennessee gave them a grand total of 39. By comparison, the Republican ticket (Tom Dewey and Earl Warren) got 21,991,292 votes (45.1%), carried 14 states and received 189 electoral votes. Harry Truman got 24,179,347 votes (49.6%), carried 30 states and received 303 electoral votes.
Number two: This whole scheme presupposes that Hillary won’t get more than 260 electoral votes.
According to the latest poll, Hillary is leading hairball by 15 points. And yes, polls are volatile. However, except for a few outlier polls, she has maintained a consistent lead throughout this cycle. For that to change, hairball will have to pull out the old etch-a-sketch and so far he has shown absolutely no inclination to do anything remotely resembling that.