Cliven Bundy Arrested In Portland, Oregon

140425091615-newday-intv-bundy-im-not-a-racist-00005822-story-topCliven Bundy was arrested Wednesday (2/10/16) in Portland when he arrived on his way to visit the occupiers at the  Malheur National Wildlife Refuge in Burns. He was booked in the Multnomah County Jail at 10:54 pm.imrs

Cliven, as you may recall was the focal point of a standoff over grazing violations in Nevada a couple of years ago. The feds backed off to avoid bloodshed, but stated at the time, that the matter was not over. As of yesterday, it may be, except for the trial and possible prison sentence.

Cliven is charged with conspiracy interfere with a federal officer. That’s the same charge his sons are facing. The senior Bundy also faces weapons charges.

The arrest came just a few hours after the FBI had tightened their cordon around the refuge headquarters, where four individuals are still holding out. One of the occupiers attempted to leave the refuge yesterday afternoon, riding an ATV.  According to an FBI statement,

FBI Agents attempted to approach the driver and he returned to the encampment at a high rate of speed.

There is a story circulating that the occupiers may surrender later today. American News X reporter Steve Rothrock is covering that and will provide details as they become available.

According to Mike Arnold, Ammon Bundy’s lawyer,

He (Cliven) was arrested without incident and without violence. That should give them comfort in their decision tomorrow.

The FBI has not released any additional details but has stated further information would be provided this morning.


Ted Nugent: Gun Control Is A Jewish Conspiracy

Teddy ButtY’all might remember Teddy Nugent from his non-smash hit “Cat Scratch Fever(It made it up the charts all the way to #30 back in ’77) or maybe “Wang Dang, Sweet Poontang” was a fave in your pre-adolescent years.

However, you’re most likely to remember him for his tirades on how every “Real ‘Murican” should be armed to the teeth when he/she takes that perilous journey to the local Denny’s. (Who knows how many terrorists are hiding behind those menus?) Or maybe it’s his vow to be dead or in prison if the Big O was re-elected. Since neither came to pass, (darn it) methinks he could have been stretching the truth just a mite bit. (aka “Lied through his ass.”)

Well, here’s the latest idiocy from the ammosexual so cowardly, he shit his pants for a week to avoid the draft.

This week, ol’ “Shitty Britches” alerted the world to a brand new conspiracy that nobody else had caught. It seems, the Big O isn’t the only one after the gun-butts’ penile surrogates. It turns out that he’s just a tool of a vast Jewish conspiracy. To help spread the alarm, Teddy Boob posted the following rogue’s gallery:12687849_10153470914987297_6549701424036416709_n

Know these punks. They hate freedom, they hate good over evil, they would deny us the basic human right to self defense & to KEEP & BEAR ARMS while many of them have tax paid hired ARMED security! Know them well. Tell every1 you know how evil they are. Let us raise maximum hell to shut them down!

I gotta tell ya, it was a revolution of a revelation to me. First of all, until it was pointed out to me, I didn’t know that some of the people in this pernicious pack were Jewish. Secondly, I didn’t give a damn, but that’s another story.

I have to admit that the idea of Jews being anti-gun struck me as strange. Especially since Israel is one of the most heavily armed countries in the world. But then, I live in this world. I’m not sure which one Teddy occupies.

Evidently, this “plot exposure” didn’t go down too well, even with some of Teddy’s gun-butt buddies. For instance:

I call total f#@king bullshit here, I am jewish,conservative gun owner, this is just f#@king hate. I’ve always supported you but f#@k you Ted, lets run for generalizations, Many more christian lib gun haters, you sank low here, what’s next swaztikas?

That one got 701 “likes” so far.

Then there’s this one:

This is nothing short of conspiratorial anti-Semitism. Regardless of one’s views on gun control, this kind of scapegoating of an entire religious group is completely unacceptable and completely divorced from reality. It should go without saying that anti-Semitism has no place in the gun control debate. You should be ashamed for promoting anti-Semitic content, and we hope that good people on both sides of the gun control debate will reject his tactics and his message. We hope you will have the good sense to remove this share immediately so that it does not spread virally across the internet.

That one stands at 966 “likes” and counting.

Or this one:

Ted: As a religious Jew who testified with you in the Michigan Senate for relaxing gun laws and strengthening the 2nd Amendment, I’m absolutely disgusted but not at all surprised that you are showing what I always suspected: that you are a Jew-hater and a piece of crap. Ted Nugent Endorses Jews, then Announces He Hates Jews. Also, I’m sickened you invoke the slogan of Jewish Holocaust survivors, “Never Again” in mockery. Go to hell, asshole!

In fairness to ol’ “Shitty Britches” there were some supporters for this fantasy, like the former Grand Wizard of the Ku Klux Klan, David Duke.

Ted Nugent was called anti-Semitic for saying that Jews lead the effort to take away our guns! If he is anti-Semitic so are all the Jewish organizations that boast of the fact that they lead the effort, including the ADL which called him an anti-Semite. If Jews have a problem with the truth then the truth is .. AntiSemitic!

The nation’s “Founding Daddies” knew that there was a downside to 1st Amendment rights. And, despite the likes of idiots like Teddy and propaganda outlets like Bullshit Mtn, I’m glad we have it. They are just a price we have to pay for that freedom. As Evelyn Beatrice Hall once stated,

I do not agree with what you have to say, but I’ll defend to the death your right to say it. 


Outrageous Bill Exempts ‘Religious’ People From Laws



History, I believe, furnishes no example of a priest-ridden people maintaining a free civil government. This marks the lowest grade of ignorance, of which their political as well as religious leaders will always avail themselves for their own purpose. Thomas Jefferson letter to Baron von Humboldt, (1813)

Wing-nut “Khristians” (as opposed to “Christians”) have the mistaken and rather idiotic idea that the U.S. Constitution was divinely inspired, or at least is trumped (no relation) by the bible. In both cases, nothing could be further from the truth

The Constitution was “inspired” by such diverse (and secular) sources as The Magna Carta, The Mayflower Compact and the government of the ancient Roman Republic, as well as the writings of such men as Thomas Hobbes, John Locke, Jean-Jacques Rousseau and Baron de Bréde et de Montesquieu along with lessons learned from the Articles of Confederation and Perpetual Union.

Were the writers and framers Christians? Of course they were. Out of 55 delegates to the 1787 Philadelphia (aka Constitutional or Federal) Convention, 28 belonged to the Church of England, 8 were Presbyterians, 7 Congregationalists, 2 Methodists, 2 Lutherans, 2 Catholics and 2 Dutch Reformed.

And at that time and place there simply weren’t any socially acceptable alternatives. (Athesim did not fall into the “socially acceptable” column.) About the closest thing you could safely be was a Deist. (De·ism  n. The belief, based solely on reason, in a God who created the universe and then abandoned it, assuming no control over life, exerting no influence on natural phenomena, and giving no supernatural revelation.) (That’s kinda like knocking up a chick and then splitting before you have to change the diapers. In other words, “Big Daddy” is also “Deadbeat Daddy”. 

The primary “Founding Fathers” were Deists. That includes Thomas Jefferson, George Washington, Ben Franklin, John Adams, Thomas Pain and “The Father of the Constitution” himself: James Madison.

In practice, Deists believed in a useless god, but not in any of his religious organizations (other than, of course, for social, political or monetary benefit). That doesn’t sound like someone who considers himself a “vessel of the lord’s work”.

During almost fifteen centuries has the legal establishment of Christianity been on trial. What have been its fruits? More or less in all places, pride and indolence in the Clergy, ignorance and servility in the laity, in both, superstition, bigotry and persecution. – James Madison, Memorial and Remonstrance Against Religious Assessments (1785)

I cover this subject in greater depth in “The Religious Wrong (Pt 2: The Hateteenth Century).” (Shameless plug #830267)

But, as the Monkee’s song goes, “That was then, this is now“. And, as T.J. noted in the first quote: “political as well as religious leaders will always avail themselves for their own purpose.”

In the latest example, seven West Virginia Regressive (not a Dem in the bunch) senators have introduced SB 11, a bill that would allow anyone to ignore any law based solely on the individual’s “religious” views.

A BILL to amend the Code of West Virginia, 1931, as amended, by adding thereto a new article, designated §5-11C-1, §5-11C-2, §5-11C-3, §5-11C-4 and §5-11C-5, all relating to establishing the West Virginia Freedom of Conscience Protection Act; ensuring that, in all cases where state action burdens the exercise of religion, strict scrutiny is applied; to provide a claim or defense to a person or persons whose exercise of religion is burdened by state action.

It includes, but is not limited to, the ability to act or refuse to act in a manner substantially motivated by one’s sincerely held religious beliefs or religious conscience, whether or not the exercise is compulsory or central to a larger system of religious belief.

Such a bill opens up a whole world of possibilities, besides refusing to sell birth control pills or baking a wedding cake for lesbians. Just think, If you’re a member of “The Children of God,” you could practice sex slavery with impunity. Vampirists (Yes, that’s a religion to some idiots.) could invite you over for a drink, BYOB. (Bring Your Own Body) Rasttafarians could go around smoking pot anytime, anywhere. (Ok, so maybe that ‘s a good thing.)  Being a member of the “Creative Movement,” would mean it’s open season on Jews and minorities with no legal consequences. And then there’s the Church of Satan. The list goes on and on.

There are, of course, a couple of benefits (for the troglodyte legislators) in this bill:

  1. It panders to their “Born-again” Bubba base. (Always handy around election time.)
  2. It gives them another excuse to beg for money. (To fight off the “godless heathens” and their war against Khristians…er Christians.)

Will the bill become law? Could be. This is West Virginia, home of the more-than-kissin’ cousins, we’re talking about.

Will it stay law? Probably for the first 10 minutes it hits the federal courts.


Stay tuned!

Does Obama, The Anti-Christ, Want to Rule the World?

The Antchrist is ObamaLooks like Michele “Batty” Bachmann, everyone’s least favorite Minnesota filbert, is trying to inject a bit of her wacky into the news cycle again.

Batty Bachmann, Ben Carson’s (aka “Dr Crazy”) obvious roll model, just refuses to go away quietly despite fleeing the House one step ahead of an ethics posse. I guess with Caribou Boobie and Ann “the Wicked Witch of the NE” Coulter getting some headlines lately, she felt left out.

Fortunately for her and unfortunately for the rest of us, this downside to the 1st Amendment will always have a podium as long as there are tea baggers and wing-nut Khristians in abundance. For instance, last Saturday (1/30/15) she joined “end times” idiots Jan Markell and Eric Barger on their “Understanding the Times” radio program.

Lest you think I’m casting aspersions on Ms Markell and Mr Barger, here’s a couple blasts from the past from the pair.

Just last month, Jan warned all the good citizens that Muslims actually and truly walk down the streets of ‘Murica.

…apparently, Islamic males are kind of walking down some of the main streets of some of our cities. They’re simply intimidating Americans. Nothing has happened at this point but they seem to be taunting Americans, taking pictures of buildings and things like that. I have some eyewitnesses to that…I just think we have an enemy within and we need to be aware.

And here’s a moldy not-too-oldie from Eric regarding Harry Potter, Twilight, at al.

This is the stuff that’s desensitizing people, preparing them for the supernatural works of the Antichrist when he stands on planet Earth and fakes being Jesus and the world around us is being conditioned to these things right now.
As you can see, Batty Bachmann is right in her element with this pair.
On the program she started out warning the listeners that “the world is about to give legitimacy to the Islamic State.” She didn’t reveal her sources on this, so I’m not sure whether it was tea leaves or more likely, one of the voices in her head. Anyway, she said this was all preparation for an invasion of Israel so they could steal the county’s energy resources.
I believe that they are positioning themselves so that someday they could invade Israel to be able to take over the vast stores of oil and natural gas that Israel is controlling.
(Israel ranks 70th in natural gas resources and 90th in oil reserves and even with Nut&yahoo in office they’re only 123rd in wind potential.)
…this very unique new partnership between Iran and Russia in Syria with the support of China lines up with scripture. All of these powers are seeking a global world order to keep their game going into the future and to support them if they would invade against Israel.
Care to guess who’s going to lead this coalition of countries?  Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi (ISIS)? (Actually, that would be rather difficult, he got air raided to death.) Putin (Russia)? Assad (Syria)? Xi Jinping (China)?  Ali Khamenei (Iran)?
Au contraire mon ami. It’s our very own Kenyan born, secret Islamic usurper of the House of White. The ol’ Anti-Christ himself: The dreaded OBAMA!

She knows this because she read in a right-wing blog quoting a Kuwaiti newspaper “quoting” a Nut&yahoo aide who claims that Obama has his sights set on becoming U.N. Secretary General and it’s only Nut&yahoo’s influence that’s stopping him. (Riiiiight! as if one of the least liked leaders of one of the least liked countries has that kind of influence in the U.N.) Even the Israeli National News says that “admittedly appears somewhat far-fetched.

Oh, and nobody else has been able to find that Kuwaiti newspaper article. But, never let facts get in the way of a good fantasy! So, back to the fantasy.
Obama would only go into an empowered, powerful UN, powerful enough to see the United States come under the UN’s authority.
At this point in the lie fest, Eric referred to Batshit’s earlier hint that the Big O is the “anti-Christ”
The whole idea of Obama being able to extend his presidency, even enhance it and expand it, I don’t think I need to say what I’m thinking because I think a lot of the listeners are thinking the same thing, and we all are too, and as you shake your head you wonder what’s coming next.
Batty wrapped it up, claiming that we are seeing the “end days” prophecies come true and the need to warn everybody about he upcoming apocalypse “with a Bible in one hand and the newspaper in the other”
If you have your Emetrol handy, take a listen.

As much as we might wish Ms Batty to fade off into the sunset, I get the feeling she ain’t goin’.

STAY TUNED! (Or not.)

Update On The Oregon Bird(brain) Refuge Occupiers

oregon_bloodbath_160127a-800x430Things are a mite quieter down at the ol’ Malheur National Wildlife & Birdbrain Refuge. Six of them fellers and one good ol’ gal got their behinds behind bars and one is fertilizing a future crop of daisies. Most of the rest of them “real ‘Murican patri-rats” took off for the four winds soon as they found out the fuzz had no problem adding a little lead to their diet. (And, they wouldn’t even have to go to Flint, MI for the treatment.)30A2034300000578-0-image-a-21_1453909054925-1Howsomever, there’s still four militia morons holding down the compound with a stock of penile substitutes in their arsenal. Seems several of the “stand your ground and shoot back” types got the hell outta Dodge so fast, they plumb forgot their shootin’ irons.

So, let us take a look-see at the goin’ ons, goin’ on.

The Bundy bros and four of their favorite Y’all Qaeda buds are currently guests of the Multnomah County Stony Lonesome. And, it looks like they’re gonna stick around for a spell. A mean ol’ federal judge (who according to them, ain’t got no business buttin’ into their business*) is giving them an all-expenses paid stay until it’s time to take the stand.

*There is no justice in a federal court. The feds have used the courts to take rights, not protect them. – Ammon Bundy, August 16, 2015

Seems the prosecutors pulled a nasty and argued that despite their short term residency out among the sagebrush and pygmy rabbits, they have no Oregon ties and no real reason to stick around and face the music. For instance, take a gander at what they said about poor Ammon:CZ6oJfyUEAA-2dF

Now, afore you start a thinkin’ that this is just another example of gay-lovin, ‘Murica-hatin’, hipster-toleratin’ liberal-ass Portland types bein’ mean to some good ol’ boys (and gal). Why, that’s far from the thing. Heckins, we were so dad-blamed happy they’re here, one of our fine establishments, (Voodoo Doughnuts, by handle) baked Ammon a (file-less) cake. Actually, it was a big doughnut, but the thought was there.Bundy-Donut

Oh, and that seventh hoosegow inhabitant, ‘Murica’s favorite Muslim-hatin’ gun slinger, Jon Ritzheimer, is currently a federal guest in Arizona. He missed all the Oregon fun and games on the 26th because he was on leave visiting his family in Peoria, AZ. He’ll find out next Tuesday (2/2/16) whether he can buy his way out till trial or join the gang in Portland.

Meanwhile, back at the compound, there are still four mental midgets who are contemplating suicide by law enforcement unless they can walk outta there with a “get out of jail” card. (Conventional wisdom says that just may happen 15 minutes after the sun rise in the west on Feb, the 30th.) Barring that, they are calling for reinforcements to join them in their suicide pact.

Most patri-rat militias have turned down the honor of dying for the cause, but one, the Pacific Patriots Network, has issued a call for action. They called it “peaceful,” but it don’t look too darn peaceful, particularly when their demands get laughed at.kben9gskggjchuzr9iajxioft5t8b4owriwfyaso

However, those damn interfering feds have the area sealed off for a 50 mile diameter. There are also rumors, that they’ve beefed up their forces with armored vehicles and a Blackhawk. (And, I ain’t talking about a big bird.) No word on whether drones have been deployed, but it wouldn’t surprise me none.

There’s this tea potty myth goin’ round that AK47 armed “real ‘Muricans” can defeat the government in their fight for “freedom.” We just may find out, but I wouldn’t ante up much money on it (unless it’s Confederate coin).duck_dynastymeme

Y’all stay tuned! It ain’t over till the fat guy squeals.

Contributions To Vets Fundraiser Go To Trump’s Foundation

19225749489_a57875fe79_h_t4xo8qIf you’re following the primary season (If you’re reading this, you probably are.) you know that Donald Trump opted out of the last Republican Primary Debate. The stated reason is that Fox’s Megyn Kelly was mean and didn’t ask him the type of questions he wanted to answer. He spun it a bit differently, but that’s what it came down to. Of course, that begs the question, if he can’t handle questions from a moderator at Trump-friendly Fox, how will he be able to stand up to Putin, et al?

However, that may not have been the real reason for The DONALD’s departure from the latest debate. According to the Chicago Tribune, Trump wanted a $5 million donation to appear. Fox responded to the request with a public statement,

Trump offered to appear at the debate upon the condition that FOX News contribute $5 million to his charities. We explained that was not possible and we could not engage in a quid pro quo, nor could any money change hands for any reason.

Trump then took to twitter with a poll asking if he should appear or not. (A foreshadowing of how he would decide policy as president?) The polling was pretty much split down the middle, so he went ahead and scheduled a rally at the same time as the debates.

The stated purpose of the rally was to raise funds for veterans. This struck me as a bit strange since Trump does NOT have a history of being veteran friendly. He had previously written the state legislature and the New York City mayor trying to keep them away from his real estate holdings.

To the legislature:

While disabled veterans should be given every opportunity to earn a living, is it fair to do so to the detriment of the city as a whole or its tax paying citizens and businesses? Do we allow Fifth Avenue, one of the world’s finest and most luxurious shopping districts, to be turned into an outdoor flea market, clogging and seriously downgrading the area?

To the mayor:

Whether they are veterans or not, they [the vendors] should not be allowed to sell on this most important and prestigious shopping street. The image of New York City will suffer… I hope you can stop this very deplorable situation before it is too late.

Nevertheless, Trump’s campaign promptly put up a website to collect money. The site is composed of a picture, a donation form and a statement:

100% of your donations will go directly to Veterans needs

Upon learning of his “fundraising plans,” several veterans groups wanted no part of his scheme. Paul Rieckhoff, founder of the Iraq and Afghanistan Veterans of America said he would refuse to take any of the funds.

If offered, @IAVA will decline donations from Trump’s event. We need strong policies from candidates, not to be used for political stunts. If folks want to support vets, $$ doesn’t need to be funneled through a political campaign. Just donate directly to groups doing good work.

And as Jon Soltz, chairman of put it,

Let me put this in language Donald Trump understands. You’re a loser. You’re a third-rate politician, who clearly doesn’t understand issues and is so scared of Megyn Kelly exposing it, that you’re looking to use veterans to protect you from facing her questions.

Now, for the irony (to use an extremely euphemistic term). Despite the statement that all the money would go directly to veterans’ needs, it doesn’t! It goes directly to the Donald J Trump Foundation. I’m not talking about a small amount either. According to Trump, the rally raised over $5 million.

The campaign released a statement, ignoring the fact that the money went into the foundation’s coffers and putting a positive (and false) spin on The DONALD’s history with vets.

The night benefited twenty-two different organizations, a number of which are Iowa based Veterans groups. Mr. Trump has been a major supporter of Veterans organizations throughout his life and has made strengthening our military, reforming the VA and taking care of our great Veterans cornerstones of his campaign.

Stay tuned!

Bundy Gang Busted, 1 Dead, 1 Wounded, 8 In Jail

Bundy BozosThe story so far:

Yesterday afternoon (1/26/15) Ammon & Ryan Bundy, along with some of their cohorts left the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge to travel to a meeting in John Day, 70 miles away. They were stopped a few miles north of Burns by FBI agents and Oregon State Police. A firefight ensued resulting in the death of Robert “LaVoy” Finicum, one of the occupation’s spokesmen and the wounding of Ryan Bundy. Ryan was taken to Harney District Hospital in Burns. The hospital was immediately locked down.The remaining vehicle occupants were taken into custody.


A little over an hour later police arrested Donald O’Shaughnessy in Burns and an hour after that they also arrested Peter Santilli. Santilli is an ultra right-wing talk show host who was embedded with the occupiers.

Later in the evening, Jon Ritzheimer turned himself in to the Peoria, Arizona police department. He had left the refuge earlier to visit his family in Arizona. Ritzheimer gained notoriety last year with his armed anti-Muslim protests in Phoenix.

Last night, Ryan Bundy was released and placed into custody. He and the other occupiers arrested in Oregon were taken to Portland and incarcerated in the Multnomah County Jail. They have been charged with a felony: “conspiracy to impede federal officials in their official duties through the use of force, intimidation or threats.” Other charges may follow, including charges related to the shootout.12592755_10153819047173290_5679065988423978441_nFollowing the arrests, the FBI and police blocked a 50 mile stretch of  the highway to the refuge. The FBI strongly advised the remaining occupiers to vacate the refuge. Anyone leaving the compound was to show identification and have their vehicle searched.

At the time of the FBI ultimatum, there were about 40 people in the compound, including women and children. According to reports, most, if not all, of the women and children have left. The remaining occupiers, said to be five or six, held a meeting and decided to continue the standoff.

Several law enforcement convoys have been reported to be heading for the refuge and journalists have been advised to leave the area.

At 11:00 am this morning, the US Attorney for Oregon, the FBI and the Harney County Sheriff held a news conference. Stating there is an on-going investigation, no new information was released. It was stressed by all three that every effort was made to ensure a peaceful conclusion and that remains their goal.


Tony Perkins Lied! Reagan Did Negotiate With Iran! (AUDIO)

Iran ContraBefore I dive into the steak and spuds of this post, some of you might not be familiar with Tony Perkins, so a bit of background is in order. First off, he is not the Tony Perkins who stared in Hitchcock’s movie, “Psycho”. (Although, there seems to be a bit of psycho in him.)

tony-perkinsIn Tony’s past life, he was a Louisiana lawmaker and a failed senate candidate. As another senate candidate’s campaign manager, the Federal Election Commission fined him $3000 for covering up his purchase of a KKK mailing list.

But, those were the good ol’ days. Nowadays, he’s head honcho of the Family Research Council, (FRC) a prominent member of the Southern Poverty Law Center’s Hate Group List. The FRC purports to be “the leading voice for the family in our nation’s halls of power,” but it specializes in lying about gays and lesbians.

However, LGBT whoppers aren’t the subject of this rant. This is about a revisionist view of Saint Ronnie.

For those of you who may not know, there are two Ronald Reagans. There’s the Regressive’s mythological Reagan, the fearless fighter for freedom from tyrannical progressives, excess taxation, government regulations and nasty terrorists. Then there was the real Reagan, who raised taxes seven times and tripled the national debt. He presided over a major expansion of government. He granted amnesty to 3,000,000 illegal immigrants. He funded Osama Bin. And, he was in favor stricter gun regulations. (Even before he got shot!) images-1He also had a few other accomplishments that I’ll get to shortly.

As, I’ve stated, if there’s a bit of inconvenient history, Regressives seem to have no problem re-writing it. For instance, Texas school books have rebranded slaves as “workers.”

Tuesday, (1/19/15) on the FRC program, “Washington Watch,” Tony and a Texas rep, Ted Poe, were discussing Obama’s negotiations to free the Americans imprisoned in Iran. Tony stated,

Long gone are the days of Ronald Reagan when we said, ‘We don’t negotiate with terrorists.’ Now we make all kinds of deals and it just appears that America comes out on the short end of the deal.

This, of course, is a well-documented LIE!

Saint Ronnie negotiated with terrorists on more than one occasion, beginning even before he moved into the White House.

When the Iranians took over the American embassy in Tehran in April of 1980, they took 52 diplomats and staff hostage. At the time, Reagan was running against Jimmy Carter for the Oval Office and the contest was extremely close.

Ronnie sent William Casey, his campaign chairman and “Papa” Bush, his Veep candidate to Madrid and Paris for secret meetings with Iranian representatives. As a result of these negotiations, the 52 hostages were released 20 minutes after Ronnie finished his inaugural address. jan20-1981

The Reagan Administration rewarded Iran for its participation by supplying them with weapons channeled through Israel and unblocking Iranian assets in U.S. banks. This has been confirmed by such diverse sources as Israel’s former Prime Minister, Yitzhak Shamir, Iranian President Abulhassan Banisadr and National Security Council staff member Gary Sick among others.

12 years later, the House and Senate both conducted investigations into the matter but decided their wasn’t enough documentation to confirm this. (No docs on secret negotiations? Gee that’s strange.) Plus, let’s be honest. When was the last congressional inquiry into political hijinks that was actually worth the cost of the paper documenting it?

If there’s any controversy about those negotiations, there sure isn’t about the negotiations with Iran as part of the Iran-Contra Affair.

In 1979, the Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN) took over in Nicaragua, canceled elections and confiscated business property, including American. (These were NOT the “good guys,” but there was a severe lack of good guys in this whole episode.)

The Reagan administration began providing financial backing to the Contras, an opposition group waging guerrilla warfare from their bases in Honduras. However, on Dec. 21st, 1982, Congress passed the Boland Amendment baring “the use of funds ‘for the purpose of’ overthrowing the government of Nicaragua or provoking a war between Nicaragua and Honduras.”

What to do? What to do? At first, the CIA ran drugs to support the Contras, (although they deny it to this day) but it wasn’t doing the job. Then someone in the administration came up with an idea. (It probably wasn’t Ronnie. He had a reputation for sleeping during meetings with the Cabinet.)

It was a three-part plan. The administration sold arms to Iran, which needed them because of their ongoing war with Iraq. Iran would then use it’s influence to get American hostages in Lebanon. The profits from the arms sale would then be sent to aid the Contra cause.

Of course, there were a few nit-picky problems with this. Besides violating the aforementioned Boland Amendment, it was illegal to sell arms to Iran and there was a long held ban on ransom for hostages. However in an administration that had increased prison population with 21 of its officials, no big deal. (Btw, despite the fondest desires of the Regressives, there hasn’t even been one in the Obama administration.)

Methinks that Mr. Perkins should probably bone up on some real history!

What The Hell Is Going On With All Those Differing Polls?

Polls R NutzPolls: Hillary’s Up! Hillary Slumping! Bernie’s Surging! Bernie Can’t Win! Trump Triumphing! Cruz Cruising to a Victory!

In  case you haven’t noticed, (and if you haven’t, you’re probably not reading this) there are a couple of presidential wannabe primaries going on.

One is a down-and-dirty dog fight that will probably leave the winner so badly damaged that he will spend the fall limping along to a catastrophic loss. That is, if there is a winner. The party may end up tossing in a replacement mutt (Mitt?) at their quadannual incest fest (aka political convention).

The other is mostly a one-sided affair that media and certain fan/bots would love to convince you is a close horse race. It isn’t! In the media’s case, an appearance of a close race benefits them monetarily. In the fan/bots case its a combination of idealism, ego and the inexperience of youth. (I used to was one of those critters until reality and realpolitik kicked me in the jewels a few too many times.)

And, no! I am not saying that all, or even most, of any candidate’s backers are that way, but all candidates have a percentage that are. I, myself, am a Bernie supporter for as long as he’s in the race. However, when it comes to the general election, I will vote for whoever the Dem candidate is. I’m not just a progressive, I’m a pragmatic progressive. Sanders, Clinton or even O’Malley are leagues better than any of the Regressive Bozos!

Which brings us to today’s rant: “What the hell is going on with all the differing polls?”

First, a little background. I’ll start off by paraphrasing an old saw: “All polls are not created equal!

Some are very good and use proper methodology and carefully crafted questions to get an accurate sampling of opinion. Some don’t! Some go out of their way to eliminate bias in their surveys. Some don’t! Some polling groups have an excellent track record. Some don’t!

To cut through the chaff, I depend a lot on Nate Silver’s Nate, as you may recall, batted a 1000 in the 2012 cycle, accurately calling 50 out of 50 states. To achieve this result,

our forecasts are calculated based on weighted polling averages . The weights account for the quality of each poll based on its track record and its methodological standards. They also account for sample size and how recently it was conducted; recent polls are weighted much more heavily than older ones. Polls are also adjusted for house effects, which is a tendency to consistently show different results for a candidate than the average of other polls.

He not only utilizes state polls, but also national polling and endorsements to account for the effects of external events such as how Iowa results affect NH voting and how those might affect later elections.

His website also contains a rating system for every major or minor polling group with a track record. This helps me quickly spot check polls as they are released and to judge whether I need to add some NaCl to the findings.

Ok, the back has been grounded, so let’s take a look at what’s happening. First, with Nate’s help, We’ll check out the early primaries and caucuses. (Btw, caucus comes from the Algonquian word cau’-cau’-as’u‘ meaning advisor. Who says my posts aren’t educational?)

Yesterday (1/19/15) 538 released their current projections on the various candidates’ odds on winning and it looks like, for February at least, we do have a couple of horse races with split wins.

In the Iowa Republican caucus, with less than two weeks to go, Cruz has the upper hand with a 50% chance of winning and probably getting about 27% of the vote. Trump takes 2nd with 21% of the vote, Rubio around 15%, Carson 4th with 9% and JEB coming in with around 8%. With the Iowa Republican Party’s record of screwing up wet dreams, I have no Idea how that will break down delegate wise. (Remember the 2012 fiasco?) However, non- incumbent Iowa winners almost never get the nomination, so it doesn’t make a hell of a lot of difference.

On the Dem side, it ain’t even close. 538 rates Hillary’s chances at 80% with over 50% of the vote. Bernie is given a 20% chance of winning, but should garner about 40% of the vote. Poor O’Malley probably will be getting close to dropping out.

A hair over a week later, it’s New Hampshire’s turn at bat.

On the Republican side, this is Trumps to lose. He’s given a 41% chance of winning and projected to haul in about 23% of the total vote. The battle for 2nd is a bit more interesting, with Rubio currently given a 17% chance of winning and 15% of the votes and Kasich a 14% chance and the same percentage of votes. However Rubio’s numbers are trending down and Kasich is on an upswing. Stay tuned! Cruz sits in the 4th spot at 13 and 13 with no discernible movement in either direction.

Over on the Dem side, Bernie’s chance is currently 63% and climbing. (49% of the total vote) Hillary’s heading the other way with a 37% chance. (45% of the vote) This will probably O’Malley’s last stand: >1% chance & 4% of the vote. Being that NH is right next door to Vermont, Bernie is the regional favorite son. If he does lose, it’s pretty much bye bye Bernie. But he won’t!

Eleven days later, on the 20th, South Carolina has its Republican primary and Nevada holds a Democratic caucus.

South Carolina first. This is the most important state for Republicans prior to Super Tuesday. The winner here, gets a hell of a boost, since most of the Super Tuesday states are southern.

And, the winner is currently projected to be (at 49% and 29% of the vote): Donald Trump! Cruz is waaaay behind with an 18% chance and around the same percentage of the votes. Rubio and Bush are fighting for 3rd and everybody else is so far back, they’re out of sight. This may all change after Iowa & NH, but that’s how it stands as of now.

Nevada, meanwhile, is and has steadily been all Hillary. She’s currently given a 23 point lead and a 50.3% chance of winning. Bernie chances are rated at 28.2%

Three days later, it’s Republican caucus time in Nevada. Here again, Trump has the edge over Cruz, 31.3% to 19.3%.

The last event in Feb is on the 27th with the SC Democratic caucus. 538 doesn’t have enough recent polling to call that one. However, what polling there is, points to a Hillary landslide.

That will bring us up to Super Tuesday on March 1st and the reason I stated that the Democratic primaries don’t qualify as a horse race. It’s loaded with southern states as well as some others, almost all with HUGE leads for Hillary. The only state in which Bernie currently has a lead, is his home state of Vermont.

As I’ve said before, this is all subject to change. But, right now I don’t see any on the horizon.

Nevertheless, STAY TUNED!

Tea Bagger Explains How To Murder Elementary Students

Kids in playground

While most voters pay attention to the presidential race and to their congressional and/or gubernatorial candidates, quite a few don’t pay too much attention to their local races. Unfortunately this allows organized fringe (i.e. Tea Bagger and Religious Wrong) types to slip in under the radar. The subject of this post is a case in point.

Meet Jorge Mesa-Tejada, ex-marine, current tea bagger and chairman of the Hampstead, New Hampshire Advisory Budget Committee. Mr. Mesa-Tejada has a history of being an inflammatory gadfly, but last Thursday, he topped himself.

The scene was a Hampstead School Board Meeting to discuss an upcoming $4.5 million construction bond. A portion of the money would go towards eliminating modular classrooms and new classrooms to the main building. One of the more minor reasons for this would be to better protect children in an active shooter situation.

Mr Mesa-Tejada objected to this reasoning.

Based on today’s situation, we can have snipers anywhere shooting people and all that, they might be shot. Well, that’s true, it could happen — but based on my Marine Corps training, if I wanted to really do harm, I wouldn’t do it while they’re going from the portables to the main building. I would wait until recess. I would hide in the woods behind them and I’d have a field day.

Needless to say, that went over about as well as a reshaped tootsie roll in a Baptist picnic punch bowl.

In a letter, School Board Chairman, Jason Cipriano and Superintendent, Earl Metzler called Mr. Mesa-Tejada’s statements offensive and disgusting.

We take seriously these offensive and disgusting statements made by Mr. Mesa-Tejada and wholeheartedly denounce his behavior and blatant display of disregard for our children and their safety.

Mr. Cipriano stated publicly,

I can’t even begin to explain how someone goes from discussing a bond article, talking about construction at the school, to detailing how he would commit a mass shooting at our elementary school,” said Jason Cipriano, Hampstead School Board chairman. “I can’t speak to him and his mentality, or how he got there. All I can say is that I am very disturbed.”

The Mr. Metzler added,

Anybody that puts our children’s safety at risk, I don’t think is fit to serve in any public capacity.

One of the students parents also commented,

When I saw the recording, I had two first reactions. One was disbelief that an elected official would be talking this way, and my second reaction was to feel sick to my stomach.

The superintendent has placed a no-trespassing order on Mr. Mesa-Tejada, so he is not allowed on any school property including fields or playgrounds.

Mr. Mesa-Tejada has apologized for his remarks.

My intention was to highlight the fact that the children are more at risk on the playground than when moving between the trailers and the main building, should someone want to harm them. Stupidly, I used excessively graphic language. It’s inexcusable and I apologize.